October 2018 was a very difficult month, and managed futures investors were severely disappointed as many trend followers lost money along with equities.
In this note, we will show that historically, trend-following becomes increasingly negatively correlated to equities as the observation window lengthens and that trend-following exhibits the strongest convexity to equities at the quarterly horizon.
The managed futures asset class has acquired a reputation among investors for providing what is known as "crisis alpha" – the ability to generate returns at a time of market crisis. This brief insight reviews the historical performance of equities and managed futures during times of crisis, including the most recent example, October 2018 – December 2018.
Keep up to date with easy-read market observations from Equinox Funds Financial Analyst, Nicholas Rubino.
FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS ONLY
Most investors tend to believe that stocks are a good—perhaps even the best—investment in the long run. However, the reason for expecting satisfactory performance from stocks is perhaps not always clearly articulated: Quite simply, it is because they are risky.
This three-part series analyzes the volatility of stocks, bonds, and other diversifying investments over a period of more than 40 years (dating back to the 1970’s).
The 60% / 40% allocation to stocks and bonds has long been viewed as a useful benchmark for diversification, albeit naïve, by many investors.
This insight explores the historical data to show examples of diversification using managed futures.
Created as a tool for Advisors, this client friendly presentation provides a succinct overview of the asset class and examines the impact managed futures can have throughout several market environments.
It is important to understand that not all futures-trading strategies fall under the managed futures umbrella as conventionally defined, and that even some well-known research and ratings agencies have on occasion ended up misclassifying some funds and strategies as managed futures.
A comparative performance review of various asset classes, along with annualized returns and standard deviation of managed futures, stocks and bonds dating back 15 years.
How CTA programs strive to manage risk, aim for shallow drawdowns, and seek to earn attractive returns.
Managed futures have historically displayed a low to negative correlation with traditional investments, while posting returns on par with those of equities.
Although most CTAs provide convincing explanations to help distinguish their own trading program from others, the differences among trading styles are often not as apparent as investors may expect. Published in 2015.
The sources of managed futures returns are legion: They can come from many different futures markets that are traded on many different exchanges in many countries and continents.